**OpenAI前商业化负责人预言：2030年前将实现通用人工智能**
在2024年全球开发者先锋大会的首日，OpenAI的前全球商业化负责人扎克·卡斯发表了一场题为《AI向善》的演讲，引发广泛关注。卡斯，一个与人工智能共同走过14年历程的业界资深人士，大胆预测AGI（通用人工智能）将在本世纪三十年代初到来。
卡斯在OpenAI期间，对公司的商业化策略发挥了关键作用，尤其是他推动的ChatGPT，这款人工智能聊天机器人在短短两个月内，月活跃用户数量突破1亿大关，创造了历史性的用户增长速度，被誉为有史以来增长最快的应用程序。
卡斯的演讲内容不仅聚焦于AI的技术进步，更强调了AI发展的伦理和责任问题。他呼吁全球开发者和业界同仁，要在追求技术创新的同时，确保AI的应用能够造福社会，秉持向善的原则。这一观点在当前AI技术日新月异、影响力日益增强的背景下，显得尤为重要。
2030年实现AGI的预言，既是一个科技里程碑，也是一次对全球科研和产业界的挑战。随着AI技术的持续演进，如何在保障安全、隐私和道德的前提下，推动其发展，将成为未来十年全球科技领域的一大课题。卡斯的演讲无疑为这一讨论增添了新的视角和紧迫感。
英语如下：
**Former OpenAI Commercial Head Predicts: AGI to Arrive by 2030, Marking a New Era in AI**
Keywords: AGI, 2030, ChatGPT
**Ex-OpenAI Global Commercial Lead Forecasts Universal AI Before 2030**
On the opening day of the 2024 Global Developers Pioneers Conference, Zach Kas, former global commercial head of OpenAI, delivered a keynote titled “AI for Good,” attracting widespread attention. Kas, a 14-year veteran in the AI industry, boldly predicted that AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) will emerge early in the 2030s.
During his tenure at OpenAI, Kas played a pivotal role in shaping the company’s commercial strategy, particularly with the ChatGPT initiative. This AI chatbot reached 100 million monthly active users within just two months, setting a record for the fastest-growing application in history.
Kas’s speech not only centered on AI’s technological advancements but also emphasized the ethical and responsibility aspects of AI development. He called on global developers and industry peers to pursue innovation while ensuring AI applications benefit society and adhere to principles of doing good. This perspective is particularly crucial amid the rapid advancements and increasing impact of AI technology.
The prediction of AGI by 2030 serves as both a technological milestone and a challenge to global research and industry. As AI technology continues to evolve, the task of advancing it while safeguarding security, privacy, and ethics will be a major议题 for the global tech sector in the coming decade. Kas’s address undoubtedly adds a new perspective and sense of urgency to this ongoing discourse.
【来源】https://www.cls.cn/detail/1628040