近日，两个创新性安全风险指数模型在厦门大学成功首发，这一重要成果标志着福建省在应急管理和防灾减灾领域迈出了关键一步。在应急管理部信息研究院、福建省应急管理厅、国家矿山安全监察局福建局的指导下，厦门大学公共事务学院、公共政策研究院与应急管理研究中心共同研发了《福建省安全风险指数研究报告》和《福建省矿山安全风险预警指数研究报告》。
厦门大学副校长尤延铖教授强调，厦大作为一所致力于服务国家和区域重大需求的高等学府，不断推进科研创新，提升服务经济社会发展的能力。此次发布的两个指数模型，是对福建省安全风险状况的全面梳理和科学评估，是推进应急管理体系现代化建设的重要里程碑。尤教授指出，这些模型将为各级党政部门提供决策参考依据，帮助其更有效地抓紧行政区域的安全生产工作，提升防灾减灾救灾能力。
国家消防救援局原助理总监、中国科学院大学应急管理科学与工程学院智慧应急实验室首席专家闫鹏教授对此表示高度认可。他认为，这两个模型的发布，不仅标志着“安全风险指数和矿山安全风险预警指数”这一重大科技成果的成熟，对全国应急管理体系与能力现代化建设具有深远意义。这些模型通过量化计算，为福建省乃至全国提供了科学的安全生产风险评估工具。
负责研发的厦门大学应急管理研究中心研究人员对指数模型进行了详细解读。厦门大学应急管理研究中心主任于文轩教授指出，两个模型通过设计指标体系，旨在助力福建省科学评价各地市、县区的安全生产风险状态。这是国内首次由高等院校联合应急管理部门、矿山安全监察部门共同推动的安全治理模式向事前预防转型的创新试点阶段性成果。
应急管理部信息研究院信息技术研究所所长王鹏教授认为，风险指数模型实现了风险状态数字化、风险辨识常态化评估和风险整改精准化等三大贡献。他表示，这种创新做法值得全国应急管理系统学习，并希望未来能够进一步丰富数据、完善模型算法，运用大模型技术，形成风险预警指数运行的体系化，以更好地服务地方经济社会安全发展。
### 结语
此次发布标志着中国内地高校首次联合应急管理部门及矿山安全监察部门共同推动的安全风险治理创新性成果，不仅体现了厦门大学在公共治理与应急管理领域的科研实力，也彰显了福建省在应急管理和防灾减灾工作上的前瞻性与创新性。这一成果有望为全国范围内的应急管理提供可借鉴的模式，推动安全管理模式的创新，为保障地方经济社会安全发展贡献智慧与力量。
英语如下：
### Two Safety Risk Index Models Debut at Xiamen University, Signaling a New Milestone in National Emergency Management
In a significant development, two innovative safety risk index models were recently launched at Xiamen University, marking a pivotal step forward in the realms of emergency management and disaster prevention and mitigation across China. Guided by the Information Research Institute of the Ministry of Emergency Management, the Department of Emergency Management of Fujian Province, and the Fujian Branch of the National Mine Safety Administration, Xiamen University’s School of Public Affairs, Institute of Public Policy, and Center for Emergency Management Research collaborated to produce the “Fujian Province Safety Risk Index Research Report” and the “Fujian Province Mines Safety Risk Warning Index Research Report.”
Professor You Yanqin, Deputy President of Xiamen University, underscored the university’s commitment to serving national and regional needs through its relentless pursuit of scientific research and enhancement of its contribution to socioeconomic development. The two newly released index models represent a comprehensive and scientific assessment of safety risk scenarios in Fujian Province, marking a significant milestone in the advancement of modern emergency management systems. Professor You highlighted that these models would provide decision-making references for governmental departments at all levels, enabling them to more effectively manage industrial safety and enhance disaster prevention and relief capabilities.
Professor Yan Peng, a former Assistant Director of the National Fire Rescue Bureau and Chief Expert of the Smart Emergency Laboratory at the University of Science and Technology of China’s School of Emergency Management Science and Engineering, expressed high praise for the release of these models. He regarded their release as a mature achievement of a major scientific and technological innovation, with profound implications for the modernization of national emergency management systems and capabilities. The models, through quantitative calculations, provide scientific tools for assessing safety risks in Fujian Province and, by extension, across the country.
Researchers from the Center for Emergency Management Research at Xiamen University provided a detailed explanation of the index models. Professor Yu Wuxuan, Director of the Center for Emergency Management Research, noted that the two models aim to facilitate the scientific evaluation of the safety risk status in various cities and counties in Fujian Province. This represents a pioneering initiative in the transformation of safety governance from post-event response to proactive prevention, spearheaded by a higher education institution in collaboration with emergency management departments and mine safety supervision agencies.
Professor Wang Peng, Director of the Information Technology Institute at the Information Research Institute of the Ministry of Emergency Management, highlighted three key contributions of the risk index models: digitalizing risk status, conducting常态化 risk identification assessments, and achieving precise risk rectification. He expressed the belief that this innovative approach is worthy of learning for the national emergency management system, with a hope for further enriching data, refining model algorithms, and leveraging big model technologies to form a comprehensive system for risk warning index operation, thereby better serving the socio-economic safety development at the local level.
### Conclusion
This debut marks the first time a Chinese university has collaborated with emergency management departments and mine safety supervision agencies to drive safety risk governance innovation. It showcases the academic prowess of Xiamen University in public governance and emergency management, as well as the forward-thinking and innovative approach of Fujian Province in emergency management and disaster prevention. This achievement is expected to provide a model for emergency management across the country, fostering innovation in safety management practices, and contributing to the safeguarding of regional socio-economic development with wisdom and strength.
【来源】http://www.chinanews.com/gn/2024/07-24/10256321.shtml
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